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00:42 | troy_s | se6astian|away: Worth a read... http://www.hugs.io/2015/04/18/makerbot-and-the-osborne-effect.html
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01:00 | comradekingu | This is why they are dumb. The exited Foss fans by sharing, and then they didnt sell them anything ahead of time, and proceeded to close their business.
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01:01 | comradekingu | Shooting oneself in the foot isnt the issue so much as changing direction afterwards
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01:06 | troy_s | comradekingu: Osborne effect is a little bigger than that.
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01:06 | troy_s | It is real.
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01:08 | comradekingu | I know, but he is blaming it for being a muppet
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01:10 | comradekingu | Its like going outside, being hit by a car, and then deciding to never going outside again, while sawing off your legs.
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01:11 | comradekingu | Instead do revisions, let people upgrade, let people buy ahead of time, keep doing what works, and plan ahead
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01:12 | comradekingu | I am glad they are failing, and i used to be a fan. Hoping the remainder of the staff understand the guy in charge is a muppet and start their own business
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01:14 | comradekingu | He just isnt making sense either. The chinese can copy anything. The only people he is cheating out of being able to mend or alter their machines is the people who bought it. After they already paid. I dont think it will even be released for v2 when v3 comes out.
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01:15 | comradekingu | And that powdercoated steel cant be done by hand, the lowest of tresholds, is false. So this guy isnt a good businessman, and also either is clueless or lying.
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01:17 | comradekingu | There was some passion in the original osbourne. They went with sharing, but were never open. Makerbot sounds bitter, misguided and dumb.
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01:18 | comradekingu | They are failing and blaming osbourne-effect, when the premise isnt the same. And they are following it up by trying to take the worst part of both worlds, then it becomes true osbourne. Minus the passion.
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01:19 | comradekingu | What they have is a reputable brand, and a good standing. It was built on the stuff they are now tarnishing.
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01:20 | comradekingu | Are they the ones who have the protection on hot-bed for 3d-printer?
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01:21 | troy_s | Until you can point to an open project that has succeeded at any great size with the same ideological underpinnings, you might as well be making an argument for god.
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01:21 | troy_s | The facts are rather clear.
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01:21 | troy_s | A) Libre / Open projects have yet to succeed in traditional market evaluations.
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01:22 | comradekingu | Openpandora
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01:22 | troy_s | Oh please.
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01:22 | comradekingu | Novena laptop
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01:22 | troy_s | Double please.
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01:22 | troy_s | You can't be serious.
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01:23 | comradekingu | Are we unclear about "great size" and "same" ?
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01:23 | troy_s | B) Until such point that there is a success, the most valid failures cited are all to be treated with a degree of credence.
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01:23 | troy_s | Apparently
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01:24 | comradekingu | Im a bit tired, what are you saying?
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01:25 | comradekingu | Makerbot didnt fail at being libre or open, that was why it worked
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01:25 | comradekingu | They are failing at being closed
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01:25 | troy_s | Right. Worked right into bankruptcy effectively.
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01:26 | troy_s | I suppose we have different definitions of worked.
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01:26 | comradekingu | Being open, good for makerbot. Being closed, bad for makerbot.
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01:26 | comradekingu | Meanwhile employing a muppet to run the company, part of whats bad for them
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01:27 | troy_s | It is absolutely absurd to suggest, which is implied from your last statement, that being open / Libre worked, and yet a business decision was made away from that.
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01:27 | troy_s | It worked so well that they randomly chose to adjust a business plan, right?
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01:27 | comradekingu | Why is it absurd?
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01:27 | troy_s | Or they randomly chose to make that decision?
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01:27 | troy_s | It worked! Change it.
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01:27 | comradekingu | They made a business decision to be open, they made a business decision to be closed
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01:27 | troy_s | That is why it is bloody absurd.
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01:27 | troy_s | They made a plan AFTER achieving success? Are you delusional?
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01:28 | comradekingu | Would you like me to teach you?
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01:28 | troy_s | To draw a not too distant analogy, if you are winning a sporting event with a given play, you want to change plans to go sideways right?
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01:28 | comradekingu | You are making flaws on many levels here
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01:28 | troy_s | I get it. Makes good sense.
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01:28 | troy_s | No. I am tired of arguing with zealotry.
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01:29 | troy_s | It is easy to go to the casino with another's money. Equally easy to draw conclusions on business plans.
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01:29 | troy_s | Perhaps an order of a magnitude more complex when you think a business would change course on things that work.
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01:30 | comradekingu | Its not complex at all
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01:30 | troy_s | Right.
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01:30 | comradekingu | If you look at the story, it plays out like this
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01:30 | troy_s | It was a success, that is why it is on the brink of ghost.
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01:30 | troy_s | It was such a tremendous success they changed plans.
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01:30 | comradekingu | Makerbot established as open company. Sharing ideas and being open. About future products.
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01:30 | troy_s | Is either of those statements rational?
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01:31 | comradekingu | Keeping with that line of thinking, they are according to you, not changing anything, by doing the exact same, when they have a product to sell already
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01:33 | comradekingu | Yet that is the only thing making it analogous to the osbourne effect
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01:33 | comradekingu | The other being to make a business decision, the same as making the decision to not think ahead, to close the parts that were open
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01:34 | comradekingu | If you want to learn anything from the osbourne effect, its to not trying to re-do it
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01:35 | comradekingu | And the only sense that this is anologous to a libre project, is that it seems those rules also apply there, coming from that background.
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01:35 | troy_s | Right. So let's see something ship that doesn't suck and return to this.
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01:35 | troy_s | Because frankly, it is all delusional soup.
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01:35 | comradekingu | As soon as makerbots reputation as open is gone, it will be irrelevant as libre anything.
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01:36 | troy_s | LibreM laptop will be the thing to watch. To see how a grotesquely overpriced laptop fares in the open market.
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01:37 | comradekingu | You mean the market that already pays overpriced money for x60 thinkpads?
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01:37 | troy_s | Trinket level speculations on devices which cost say, fifty dollars, aren't exactly proof.
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01:37 | troy_s | There is a whole system there.
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01:37 | troy_s | Which is why most of this is infinitely more complex and difficult than it looks.
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01:38 | troy_s | Lenovo at least has a support infrastructure in place, and they absolutely suck at it compared to say, any high satisfaction company.
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01:38 | troy_s | Now what is the outlook for a handful of rookies?
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01:38 | troy_s | It is a challenge.
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01:40 | comradekingu | I dont see how you are accounting for how libre is a different concept
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01:41 | comradekingu | Being small is business as usual.
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01:41 | troy_s | See article.
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01:41 | comradekingu | The one i just read and commented on?
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01:41 | troy_s | You are outright dismissing the idea of the Osborne effect. I am more reluctant to do so.
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01:42 | comradekingu | No, im not. You are saying that i do.
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01:42 | troy_s | In a Libre system, that is a very real issue.
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01:42 | troy_s | One that is both interesting and non-trivial to solve.
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01:43 | comradekingu | And what do you think about my proposed solutions?
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01:43 | troy_s | Rather akin to giving out a script and expecting the same level of curiosity and satisfaction upon viewing a film.
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01:43 | troy_s | I am still skeptical; the issue is systemic. Perhaps not plausible to rely on the traditional / historical things that "work".
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01:43 | troy_s | Which makes the task potentially more complex.
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01:43 | troy_s | Fair?
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01:44 | troy_s | Example: Folks in Eurowestern culture tend to get excited when they don't know about something... It is bred into the consumer culture.
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01:44 | comradekingu | Well the only live examples of libre projects that do work you werent content with
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01:45 | troy_s | They haven't shipped a LibreM yet unless I am mistaken?
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01:45 | comradekingu | But the libre project that now has problems because its operated badly/going closed, whichever it is, is somewhere to look for clues?
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01:45 | troy_s | Uh. Yes.
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01:45 | comradekingu | Thats why i didnt mention them, you did
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01:46 | comradekingu | I said "novena laptop", you said "double please"
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01:46 | troy_s | Well you cited Novena, which as far as I have seen, isn't a comparison to be taken genuinely.
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01:47 | comradekingu | If you want an example of libre type company and camera product thats sucessful, the colorhug is it
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01:47 | troy_s | Colorhug absolutely fails.
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01:47 | comradekingu | And whatever those people that developed open source cameras did before they stopped listening to their audience
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01:47 | troy_s | Acknowledged by the creator.
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01:47 | troy_s | It is a horrid hot mess.
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01:47 | troy_s | Again, due to rookie mistakes.
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01:48 | comradekingu | Explain yourself
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01:49 | comradekingu | When i said success i mean it sold well, and it established a business and brand name from which to launch new, successful products. Like his latest usb-light-meter
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01:49 | troy_s | It doesn't work.
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01:49 | troy_s | Does "It doesn't work" qualify as a fair explanation?
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01:50 | comradekingu | You make the product, you sell it, you make the support structure, you establish business relations, you get an audience, you create a community
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01:50 | troy_s | It requires a spectrophotometer to generate a calibration for it.
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01:50 | troy_s | At which point you have say, a 3000$ spectrophotometer, why are you purchasing a 100$ product?
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01:50 | comradekingu | Yes, and he will probably get around to making one, with his success and all
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01:50 | troy_s | LMAO
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01:51 | troy_s | So wait... Your business plan is to build a community willing to buy your next product when your first product doesn't work.
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01:51 | troy_s | I get it.
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01:51 | troy_s | Now I am a Foucault believer, but that stretches my definitions of success.
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01:52 | comradekingu | No, thats what you are saying "my business plan is". I dont know what you mean, but its different from me saying something
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01:53 | comradekingu | People are buying both his products. I dont think that would have been the case if it was a regular company.
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01:54 | comradekingu | Or if hughes was just someone from the street
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01:54 | comradekingu | And as for spectrometer, he had no problems getting people to line up for that.
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01:55 | comradekingu | The one product he didnt make, was a RNG-SD-card, because he discovered similar solutions were already available. Again relying on being open, and community feedback in return.
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01:56 | comradekingu | Duplication of efforts avoided. Because those other projects were also not developed while hidden away somewhere
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01:56 | comradekingu | And dare i say it, successful at what they tried to do.
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01:57 | comradekingu | Now launching a perfect product the first time around isnt easy, its a learning process. Bunnie has launched products before. The openpandora project has launched projects before
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01:58 | comradekingu | The novena could never have been a closed source project. And the openpandora project wouldnt exist if it wasnt open, and would die if it tried to close
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01:59 | comradekingu | Half of it did. The other half, being a smarter guy, is open. And can launch a new similar product, without the first one going out of demand.
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01:59 | comradekingu | That is the definition of osbourne-effect. And its not proving to be detrimental.
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02:00 | comradekingu | Anyway, the die is cast for the apertus project. Closing anything now is known to be bad in the case of makerbot. Also the roadmap for many cameras ahead are clear.
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02:02 | comradekingu | When all different concepts have been made, the time comes to learn and replace them. Revisioning, keeping backward-compatibility, selling ideas along with sharing them, even partly, is the things that are planned and done now. I dont see that failing in the future
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02:09 | comradekingu | Where i do think apertus is making a mistake is being too similar to a regular camera company, in the way the message is sent across. It is in many places indistinguishable from an effort to do the same in a non libre way.
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02:10 | comradekingu | Any and all distinction that can be made from that is good, because its better. That value is directly put across to the product, and said product meets its own, and a broader audience in return.
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02:13 | comradekingu | This is the apertus project at times http://bidoof.thecomicseries.com/images/comics/83/e9b3038f0742df89df287a9eec3ae43e233989116.jpg
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02:14 | troy_s | comradekingu: Sorry went afk sir.
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02:14 | troy_s | comradekingu: On revisioning and backwards compatibility, how can one reconcile that with the needs of new.
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02:15 | comradekingu | Stay within the form-factor if it makes sense.
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02:15 | troy_s | That is, a design may make a good step forward by deviating from the historical design. Basic sort of design axis there.
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02:15 | troy_s | (And no easy answer here, not suggesting such.)
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02:16 | troy_s | If the design credo / ethic has a hierarchy, then it is easier to answer.
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02:16 | comradekingu | You can charge quite handsomely for new features if it doesnt mean buying everything again
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02:17 | troy_s | But if a chunk of your audience buys in under a premise, you _still_ risk alienating them, even if they were misguided in understanding.
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02:17 | comradekingu | http://nps.nikonimaging.com/technical_solutions/d810_tips/the_electronic_front/ the D800 doesnt have this
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02:17 | troy_s | (I am quite a proponent of culture and a very specific set of design ethics that let a designer (and audience) make hard decisions swiftly. See cinema camera versus newsy discussions etc.)
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02:18 | comradekingu | The premise is this, you pay some of it upfront, and the rest when you are comfortable with what you get. Want it early, you get alpha, want it late, you get more retail
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02:18 | troy_s | Still "better" is a sloppy term.
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02:19 | comradekingu | How does an audience make design-decisions?
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02:19 | troy_s | As well as again, Libre has yet to prove its worth, despite many claims.
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02:19 | troy_s | An audience buys into a project based on what it is.
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02:19 | troy_s | Sounds silly, but when a project has a vague design creed, it becomes more seductive to every audience.
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02:19 | comradekingu | Libre just means free
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02:20 | troy_s | (Many Libre apps fall to that.)
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02:20 | troy_s | No.
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02:20 | comradekingu | You can use it for free parking
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02:20 | troy_s | Libre is not free.
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02:20 | comradekingu | In spanish it is
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02:20 | troy_s | Libre has a very unique definition, which is different to gratis.
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02:20 | comradekingu | no
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02:21 | troy_s | Hence its more popular usage in the past years; it differentiates from English "free".
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02:25 | comradekingu1 | heia
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02:25 | comradekingu1 | So you can say "espacio libre de humo de tobaco"
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02:25 | comradekingu1 | Or "cuba libre"
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02:25 | comradekingu1 | One of them is the intended use
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02:27 | comradekingu1 | In german frei is better, freiheitlich is the essence, but can also have other things. So GPL vs BSD however way you want to see it
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02:28 | troy_s | I think the general idea, although the convo went sideways, is to force a reevaluation of the English Free.
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02:28 | troy_s | Rather a dull investigation when we both know what it means.
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02:28 | troy_s | ;)
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02:28 | comradekingu1 | Also libre has some connotations to liberalism, and that isnt the same in the whole world
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02:29 | comradekingu1 | In norwegian we say fri, and friprog. Frisoft might work in english
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02:30 | comradekingu1 | Friware fails because it has the long i
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02:31 | comradekingu1 | What was i thinking, im too tired
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02:31 | comradekingu1 | Oh yes, open-source is the one that needs clarification
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02:32 | comradekingu1 | Because its always not precise. I say OSI-open source just to make that point
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02:32 | comradekingu1 | The bad guys are activly feeding on how people open source is a thing when it isnt
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02:36 | comradekingu1 | Well, anyhow. Saying copyleft when its copyleft makes sense.
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04:47 | se6astian | good evening
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